Yuval Noah Harari
58:47
Yuval Noah Harari: "21 Lessons for the 21st Century" | Talks at Google
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bw9P_ZXWDJU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bw9P_ZXWDJU
Talks at Google
Published on Oct 11, 2018
18:44 it all depends on
18:47 the definitions I mean there are many
18:49 kinds of gods and and people understand
18:52 very different things by the word
18:54 religion, if you think about God, so
18:58 usually people have very two extremely
19:01 different gods in mind, when they say the
19:03 word God, one God is the cosmic mystery,
19:08 we don't understand why there is
19:10 something rather than nothing, why the
19:13 Big Bang happened
19:14 what is human consciousness, there are
19:16 many things we don't understand about
19:17 the world, and some people choose to call
19:20 this mysteries by the name of God; God is
19:24 the reason there is something rather
19:26 than nothing, God is behind human
19:29 consciousness but the most
19:31 characteristic thing of that God is that
19:34 we know absolutely nothing about him/her
19:38 it they, there is nothing concrete,
19:42 it's a mystery and this is
19:45 kind of the god we talk about when late
19:48 at night in the desert we sit around the
19:50 campfire and we think about the meaning
19:52 of life, that's one kind of God I have no
19:54 problem at all with this god I like it
19:56 very much; then there is another God which is the
20:01 petty law Giver, the chief characteristic
20:01 petty low Giver, the chief characteristic
20:05 of this God we know a lot of extremely
20:08 concrete things about that God, we know
20:11 what he thinks about female dress code,
20:14 what kind of dresses he likes women to
20:18 wear, we know what he thinks about
20:20 sexuality, we know what he thinks about
20:23 food, about politics, and like these tiny
20:27 little things, and this is the God people
20:30 talk about when they stand around
20:34 burning a heretic; will burn you because
20:38 you did something that this God we know
20:40 everything about this God, and he didn't
20:42 it doesn't like it that you do this so
20:43 we burn you;
17:08
"Take a human being, cut him open, look inside, and you will find no human rights there."
Why humans run the world | Yuval Noah Harari
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nzj7Wg4DAbs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nzj7Wg4DAbs
TED
Published on Jul 24, 2015
7:30
Emergence – How Stupid Things Become Smart Together
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16W7c0mb-rE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16W7c0mb-rE
Kurzgesagt – In a Nutshell
Published on Nov 16, 2017
Sugar is a greater danger than gunpowder, says ‘Sapiens’ author Yuval Noah Harari
Sweet talk
There was a time when war was the only answer. But since 1945 (the end of the Second World War), due to the collective effort of great powers, there have been no major battles. “For the first time in history, you are your worst enemies. Fewer people died in 2017 due to UN violence than due to obesity, car accidents and suicides,” he said. “Statistically, you have a greater chance of killing yourself than any soldier or terrorist. Sugar is a greater danger than gunpowder. You are more likely to die from drinking too much cola than being blown up by al-Qaeda. And this is very good news.”
Read more at:
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/63574089.cms
11:33
Sugar: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MepXBJjsNxs
LastWeekTonight
Published on Oct 26, 2014
Sugar. It's in everything!
Is it good for us? Well, the sugar industry thinks so.
1:00:58
Yuval Noah Harari In Conversation with Christine Lagarde
SPR futurist series
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5Y2CwCsnbA
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5Y2CwCsnbA
Yuval Noah Harari
Published on Sep 13, 2018
03:30 Strategy and Policy Review [SPR] department of the IMF.
03:33 It gives everybody a chance to be inspired
03:36 by broader thinkers than just us.
... ... ...
29:36 - Yeah, I mean, I think that you need to differentiate
29:38 between saying that a story is not true
29:41 and saying that a story is harmful or not effective.
29:45 To get a lot of people to cooperate, you need to convince
29:48 them to believe in a shared story.
29:52 Now sometimes the story can be completely fictional
29:55 and it still works.
... ... ...
30:03 If you want to get 22 people to play football,
30:06 you need for all of them to agree on a common story
30:09 for what football is, what are the rules,
30:11 what are the goals, what is allowed, what is not allowed.
30:14 And, there is nothing wrong with that.
30:16 Everybody know that we invented the rules.
30:19 It's completely fictional.
30:20 It's not the laws of physics, or the laws of biology
30:23 that mandate these rules.
30:25 And as long as it goes it's fine, until somebody
30:29 forgets that this is just a story that we invented,
30:32 and you have a football hooligans starting
30:34 to beat or kill somebody because of a football game.
30:37 And then to remind this person, look, it's just a story
30:40 we invented.
... ... ...
57:45 Go back 100 years to 1918, European's were killing
57:49 each other by the million over questions of nationality.
57:53 Now today with all the talk about the rise of nationalism
57:56 in Europe, just count the bodies.
57:59 A good way, it's not the only way, but a good way
58:02 to assess the power of an idea is to do a body count.
58:06 And one of the amazing things for me is as an historian
58:09 watching events, I'm not speaking specifically
58:12 about Europe, is how few people are willing
58:15 to kill or be killed for nationalism.
58:19 Which is a wonderful development, don't get me wrong.
58:23 A century or two ago, to decide the question,
58:25 like whether Britain should be part
58:27 of the European Union or an allegedly independent
58:33 country, you would need a big war
58:36 with millions of people being killed and injured
58:38 and so forth.
58:40 As far as I know, in Brexit, only one person lost
58:43 their life, a British MP who was murdered
58:46 by some fanatic.
58:48 And the rest of the people just followed whatever
58:50 the referendum said.
58:52 And it's the same with the Scottish referendum.
58:55 In past centuries, if Scotland wanted to be independent
58:57 of London and they wanted to be independent
59:00 a couple of times, they needed to raise an army
59:03 and to confront the armies that London would send
59:06 from the south to burn Edinburgh down.
59:09 Now they just got a referendum and almost everybody
59:12 just accept the results.
59:14 Very few people are willing to actually be killed
59:18 or to kill for this, and this is a very good development.
... ... ...
59:33 but what is to me, quite clear, is that all the major
59:37 problems of the world today are global problems.
59:41 The three biggest problems we face are nuclear war,
59:44 climate change and technological disruption.
59:47 And none of these problems can be solved on the level
59:51 of a single nation.
59:52 You just can't solve climate change
59:55 or regulate AI on the level of a single nation.
59:58 So, the only solution to these global problems,
60:02 is greater global cooperation.
60:05 Whether we actually see greater global cooperation,
60:08 I don't know.
60:09 It's the wise thing to do, but we should never
60:13 underestimate human stupidity.
([ won’t stop us from making the same old mistakes in new ways ])
60:15 (laughter)
60:18 It's one of the most powerful forces in history.
60:21 (laughter increases)
60:24 Is this upbeat enough?
60:25 (laughter and applause)
60:32 - You were terrific, thank you.
1:17:56
Yuval Noah Harari in conversation with RUSI Chairman, Lord Hague of Richmond
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYqonHGLhGo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYqonHGLhGo
Yuval Noah Harari
Published on Nov 18, 2018
23:39 but just remind everybody what happened on the 7th
https://eureka.eu.com/innovation/deep-mind-chess/
https://deepmind.com/blog/alphazero-shedding-new-light-grand-games-chess-shogi-and-go/
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/dec/07/alphazero-google-deepmind-ai-beats-champion-program-teaching-itself-to-play-four-hours
23:42 when the AlphaGo Zero program started to play chess.
“It is arguable that AlphaZero is the second paradigm shift in chess computing. The first came in 1997, when Garry Kasparov lost to IBM’s Deep Blue.” (March 20, 2018, https://eureka.eu.com/innovation/deep-mind-chess/ )
23:46 - Yes, so, and almost every month or so
23:49 we hear about a new achievement of artificial intelligence.
23:54 So one of the latest headlines
23:56 was when a new software for playing chess
24:02 defeated the previous computer software for playing chess.
24:06 And it maybe doesn't sound like news
24:08 because it has been 20 years since a computer program
24:11 defeated the human chess master of the world,
24:14 Garry Kasparov, but what was amazing about the new software
24:18 is that it taught itself how to play chess.
24:23 It started basically from zero.
24:25 They just programmed it the basic rules of the game
24:28 and didn't teach it anything about strategy, about moves.
24:33 It didn't have any access to previous games,
24:37 to the centuries-old bank of knowledge about playing chess.
24:45 It just played the games itself
24:47 and taught itself chess and strategies and so forth
24:51 and went on to defeat the previous computer world champion.
24:56 But the most amazing thing is how long it took it
24:59 to reach from zero knowledge to complete mastery,
25:04 to be the top of the world.
25:06 Four hours, that's it. (audience laughing)
25:09 So it's centuries of thousands of years
25:13 of humans playing chess and passing their knowledge
25:15 to the computers and that's it, four hours.
25:18 So it's still a long way from playing chess
25:23 to taking over far more complicated tasks in the real world
25:28 but the writing is really on the wall.
25:32 And as you say, I mean I don't think we'll reach a point
25:35 when we have computer overlords.
25:38 The more scary, realistic scenario
25:42 is that we might soon reach a point when,
25:46 I mean all the people in power, all the powerful positions
25:51 are still occupied by human beings, not by computers.
25:55 You still have a prime minister.
25:57 You still have a CEO.
25:59 But the prime minister chooses from a menu written by AI.
26:04 For instance, the financial system is likely to become
26:07 so complicated within the next 20 or 30 years
26:11 and so fast-moving that no human being.
... ... ...
08:44 from what some nationalists are thinking
08:47 is that they think in terms of
08:49 like a network of friendly fortresses
08:53 that you will have each country building walls
08:57 and digging moats around itself
09:00 to defend its unique identity,
09:02 its unique culture, its unique ethnicity.
09:06 But the different countries will still be able to
09:09 cooperate peacefully to some extent.
09:12 To trade it will not be a return to the jungle
09:15 of everybody against everybody else.
09:18 But the problem with this vision of the world
09:21 as a network of friendly fortresses,
09:23 actually there are two problems.
09:25 The first problem is that fortresses
09:27 don't tend to be friendly, certainly not in the long run.
09:32 Each fortress naturally wants a bit more security
09:37 and sometimes territory and certainly prosperity to itself
09:41 even at the price of what the other fortresses want
09:45 and without some global values and global organizations
09:48 and so forth you can't reach an agreement.
09:51 And the idea of friendly fortresses very quickly turns
09:56 into warlike fortresses.
09:58 The other problem which is a new problem
10:01 is that the world now has three major challenges
10:06 which are global in nature and simply cannot be solved
10:11 or dealt with on the level of a single fortress
10:15 within the walls of a single fortress.
10:17 These are nuclear war, climate change,
10:20 and technological disruption, especially the rise of
10:22 artificial intelligence and bioengineering.
10:25 And it should be obvious, I think, to everybody
10:28 that you can't stop nuclear war
10:30 just within the walls of one fortress,
10:32 you can't prevent climate change
10:34 just within the walls of one fortress,
10:37 and you cannot regulate AI and bioengineering
10:40 just in a single nation
10:42 because you don't have control
10:45 over scientists and engineers in other countries
10:48 and nobody would like to stay behind
10:52 and just restrict our own development
10:55 if the other fortresses are not doing the same thing.
... ... ...
41:00
The 2 Most Important Skills For the Rest Of Your Life | Yuval Noah Harari on Impact Theory
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6tMLAjPVyo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6tMLAjPVyo
Tom Bilyeu
Published on Nov 13, 2018
15:44 understand in this regard is that
15:46 what music and most of art plays on in
15:51 the end is the human biochemical system
15:53 at least according to the dominant view
15:57 of art in the modern Western world we
15:59 had different views in different
16:00 cultures but in the modern Western world
16:02 the idea of art is that art is above all
16:06 about inspiring human emotions it
16:10 doesn't necessarily have to be joy great
16:13 art can inspire also sadness can can
16:17 inspire a anger can inspire fear it can
16:20 be a whole palette of emotional states
16:23 but our is about inspiring human
16:26 emotions so the instrument artists play
16:30 on and whether it's musicians or poets
16:33 or movie makers they're actually playing
16:37 on the homosapiens biochemical system
16:39 and we might reach a point quite soon
16:43 when an algorithm knows this instrument
16:47 better than any human artist a movie or
16:50 a poem or a song that will not move you
16:56 that will not inspire you might inspire
16:58 me and something that will inspire me in
17:01 one situation might not inspire me in
17:03 another situation and as time goes on
17:06 and the algorithm gathers more and more
17:09 data about me it will become more and
17:11 more accurate in reading my biochemical
17:15 system and knowing how to play on it as
17:18 if it was a piano like okay you want joy
17:20 I press this button and out comes the
17:23 perfect song the only song in the world
17:26 that can actually make me joyful right
17:29 now
... ... ...
19:49 the biggest battles in the 21st century
19:52 is likely to be between privacy and health
19:56 and I guess that health is going to win
20:00 most people will be willing to give up a
20:03 very significant amount of privacy in
20:06 exchange for far better health care
... ... ...
20:09 we do need to try and enjoy both worlds
20:12 to create a system that give us a very
20:16 good health care but without
20:18 compromising our privacy
20:20 keeping there yes you can use the data
20:21 to tell me that there is a problem and
20:24 then we should do this order to solve it
20:26 but I don't want this data to be used
20:29 for other purposes without my knowing it
20:31 whether we can reach such a balance and
20:34 like you know have-your-cake-and-eat-it-too
20:37 that that's a big political question
... ... ...
source:
https://futureforecasting2.blogspot.com/2019/03/
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