Friday, May 12, 2023

Virginia Satir's I am me

 


Virginia Satir’s I Am Me
Virginia Satir was an American author and therapist, known especially for her approach to family therapy and her pioneering work in the field of family reconstruction therapy.

I Am Me by Virginia Satir
In all the world there is no one else exactly like me.

Everything that comes out of me is authentically mine because I choose it…

…I own everything about me, my body, my feelings, my mouth, my voice, all my actions whether they be to others or to myself…

…I own my fantasies, my dreams, my hopes, my fears…

…I own all of my triumphs and successes, all of my failures and mistakes…

…because I own all of me.

I become intimately acquainted with me…

…by so doing, I can love me and be friendly with me in all my parts…

…I know there are aspects about myself that puzzle me and other aspects I do not know…

…but as long as I am friendly and loving to myself, I can courageously and hopefully look for solutions to the puzzles and for ways to find out more about me…

…however I look and sound whatever I say and do, and whatever I think and feel at a given moment in time is authentically me…

…if later some parts of how I looked, sounded, thought and felt turned out to be unfitting, I can discard that which is unfitting and keep the rest and invent something new for that which is I discard…

…I can see, hear, feel, think, say and do.

I have the tools to survive, to be close to others, to be productive, and to make sense and order out of the world of people and things outside of me…

I own me and therefore I can engineer me…

…I am me and I AM OKAY.



“In all the world, there is no one else exactly like me
Everything that comes out of me is authentically me
Because I alone chose it -- I own everything about me
My body, my feelings, my mouth, my voice, all my actions, 
whether they be to others or to myself -- I own my fantasies, 
my dreams, my hopes, my fears -- I own all my triumphs and successes,
all my failures and mistakes.
Because I own all of me, I can become intimately acquainted with me --
by so doing I can love me and be friendly with me in all my parts --
I know there are aspects about myself that puzzle me, and
other aspects that I do not know -- but as long as I am friendly 
and loving to myself, I can courageously and hopefully look for solutions
to the puzzles and for ways to find out more about me -- 
However I look and soun, whatever I say and do, and whatever I think
and feel at a given moment, I can discard that which is unfitting, 
keep the rest, and invent something new for that which I discarded --
I can see, hear, feel, think, say, and do
I hve the tools to survive, to be close to others, 
to be productive, to make sense and order out of the world 
of people and things outside of me -- 
I own me, and therefore I can engineer me --
I am me and I am okay.”





One of her most well-known works, "I Am Me," was written by Satir in response to a question posed by an angry teenage girl.[14]

I Am Me
My declaration of self-esteem
I am me
In all the world, there is no one else exactly like me
Everything that comes out of me is authentically mine
because I alone chose it – I own everything about me
My body, my feelings, my mouth, my voice, all my actions,
whether they be to others or to myself – I own my fantasies,
my dreams, my hopes, my fears – I own all my triumphs and
successes, all my failures and mistakes Because I own all of
me, I can become intimately acquainted with me – by so doing
I can love me and be friendly with me in all my parts – I know
there are aspects about myself that puzzle me, and other
aspects that I do not know – but as long as I am
friendly and loving to myself, I can courageously
and hopefully look for solutions to the puzzles
and for ways to find out more about me – However I
look and sound, whatever I say and do, and whatever
I think and feel at a given moment in time is authentically
me – If later some parts of how I looked, sounded, thought
and felt turned out to be unfitting, I can discard that which is
unfitting, keep the rest, and invent something new for that
which I discarded – I can see, hear, feel, think, say, and do
I have the tools to survive, to be close to others, to be
productive, and to make sense and order out of the world of
people and things outside of me – I own me, and
therefore I can engineer me – I am me and
I AM OKAY


Desiderata (things desired)

 


Max Ehrmann (September 26, 1872 – September 9, 1945) was an American writer, poet, and attorney from Terre Haute, Indiana, widely known for his 1927 prose poem "Desiderata" (Latin: "things desired"). He often wrote on spiritual themes.



"Desiderata" (Latin: "things desired") is an early 1920s prose poem by the American writer Max Ehrmann. The text was widely distributed in poster form in the 1960s and 1970s.

 Terre Haute, Indiana

The poem is now officially in the public domain throughout the U.S., as written works registered before 1928 entered the public domain in 2023.[19]



Desiderata: Original Text
This is the original text from the book where Desiderata was first published.

Go placidly amid the noise and the haste, and remember what peace there may be in silence. As far as possible, without surrender, be on good terms with all persons.

Speak your truth quietly and clearly; and listen to others, even to the dull and the ignorant; they too have their story.

Avoid loud and aggressive persons; they are vexatious to the spirit. If you compare yourself with others, you may become vain or bitter, for always there will be greater and lesser persons than yourself.

Enjoy your achievements as well as your plans. Keep interested in your own career, however humble; it is a real possession in the changing fortunes of time.

Exercise caution in your business affairs, for the world is full of trickery. But let this not blind you to what virtue there is; many persons strive for high ideals, and everywhere life is full of heroism.

Be yourself. Especially do not feign affection. Neither be cynical about love; for in the face of all aridity and disenchantment, it is as perennial as the grass.

Take kindly the counsel of the years, gracefully surrendering the things of youth.

Nurture strength of spirit to shield you in sudden misfortune. But do not distress yourself with dark imaginings. Many fears are born of fatigue and loneliness.

Beyond a wholesome discipline, be gentle with yourself. You are a child of the universe no less than the trees and the stars; you have a right to be here.

And whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should. Therefore be at peace with God, whatever you conceive Him to be. And whatever your labors and aspirations, in the noisy confusion of life, keep peace in your soul. With all its sham, drudgery and broken dreams, it is still a beautiful world. Be cheerful. Strive to be happy.

by Max Ehrmann ©1927
https://www.desiderata.com/desiderata.html
https://cdm15705.contentdm.oclc.org/digital/collection/archives/id/15076

Peter Senge

   • what's context which we are operating
  • to continually invest, enhancing the intelligence of your enterprise   
  • how people understand the world around them

Peter Senge's presentation from
2012 Better by Design CEO Summit.
     https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GE5lviCN7gA
     https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GE5lviCN7gA
   ____________________________________
Peter Senge's presentation from
2012 Better by Design CEO Summit.
     https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GE5lviCN7gA
     https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GE5lviCN7gA
     (transcript, not verbatim, not by algorithm)

     I don't know if this is new or very old,
     in some sense, my guess is that it is kind of a timeless idea
     but since a lot of you are in the senior role in your organization
     I would like to suggest one easily neglected aspect of your work is how to help people make sense of things
     who are we
     where are we
     but also what's context which we are operating
     so one way to say would be that one aspect of your job is to continually invest, enhancing the intelligence of your enterprise   
     how people understand the world around them
     now that could be

     (1.2), (1.25), (1.3), (1.7)

     and you'll see in a minute when I explain a little bit
     of why there is a natural range of uncertainty
     but part of the defining feature of the world we lived today is this number
     this number refers to how many earths we presently use
     if you look at the total footprint of human activity on the planet
     we are way pass the 1
     probably, I say a kind of concensus perspective of environmental scientists
     probably in the later part of the last century we pass the 1 point
     now, this is inherently ambiguious idea
     that does not make it unimportant
     we want to be a good designer in this world today
     you obviously have to embrace ambiguity
     everything in life at some level is ambiguious
     so you picked a few that are particularly important
     I would say there are probably none that are more important than this one

     If China were to rise to the level of material affluence and waste of the West, this number would be two
     We would need 2 Earths
     If India does like wise, it will be 3
     I would say that is a defining feature of our reality, today
     Because it means what it means
     To each person, to each organization, to each society
     take the time to try to make sense of it
     needless to say we don't have 2 earths, we don't have 3, we don't even have one and a half
     so we are way pass already to the point to which human being think in any logical rational basis that we just keep going the way we are going and everything will be fine
     but I would say just that as long as we accept this inherently certain notion, every species, every biological context or niche, operate in the context biologist has been calling for years, carrying capacity
     you know, how many of whatever species can be supported in this biological setting, or geographical setting, food supply, ability to process waste, etc. . .
     very basic stuff
     second number
     this one, ah, a lot less ambiguious in concept
     the idea of a carrying capacity of any species is always a conceptual idea, no one differs with the principle behind it
     there is always an optimum size of the physical footprint of any species,
but what that is and how you calculate it is inherently very
     scientific question
     this one actually much less complicated
     that's the number of people in the world who will not have access to clean drinking water by 2020
     today it's already well over a billion (1,000,000,000)
general estimate, World Health Organization, about a billion, 200 million people in the world do not have reliable access to clean drinking water, not far off, 2020, standard World Health Organization estimate,
     this will be two billions (2,000,000,000)
     this is not a new statement right now, but I think it tells us alot
actually, water is the new oil

     this third is one that probably
     at least for me when I first was expose to it was the one that really surprise me and I want to share it, it's a little bit tough to deal with, at least I think it is, you'll draw your own conclusion, because to me it kind of complete the picture in a very interest way,  
     that number is the number of people in the world who died each year from their own hands, suicides, compared to the total number killed in homocides and wars, year in and year out, for the last two to three decades,  particularly for the last decade,  
     3 times as many people have killed themselves than have been killed by another

     so I am just sharing these little bits of data, to give us something to reflect on, one of the real role of data we often miss that is to get us to stop and pay attention to some aspect of our reality, and asked what does this mean, 

     so obviously the first and second one have to do ...

     for I want to leave with you to think about this on your own
     this third number, I don't know about you, but when I first heard it was kind a really jaw dropping
     and I've heard it now several time ... in a ball park accurate
     It suggests something that to me very important to consider in concert with let just say sociological crisis, which deep down we may have a crisis of humanness
     I mentioned the global food sustainable laboratory

     we have lived in an age
     we need a little definition here
     if you are in Europe the we go on, maybe the last 200, 250 years
     if you are American the last 150, 200 years
     New Zealand, somewhat similar
     in China,  20 years
     we live in an Era, the era is industrial age, it is not over, wasn't subplanted by the information age, a complete mis understanding of what the term mean
     it's an age where, another way to say this, it would be materialism become kind of dominant mindset,
     many would argue that the Western scientific revolution plant the seed for this

     quite a bit more fundamental
     technology is about enabling thing
     what do we want to enable
     what is the context in which we live
     what is the reality of today and the future
··<---------------------------------------------------------------------------->
     2075
     *************************
     * Blueprint or Scramble *
     *************************
     transcript excerpt from a talk given by LAWRENCE WILKERSON
     Royal Dutch Shell has done a look.
     They have some of the best strategists that I've run into
     (and I was a strategist in the military) in a long time,
     and their look says the future is a blueprint,
     or the future is a scramble.
     And they talk about how to 2075, how dwindling water resources,
     dwindling petroleum resources, gas and oil,
     and so forth are going to cause world leaders to have
     to either cooperate and coordinate — "blueprint" — or fight each other
     mercilessly for half a century or longer.
     Royal Dutch Shell believes it's probably going to be the latter.
     They call that "scramble".
     We arrive at essentially the same point in 2075,
     with a basket of energy sources,
     some of which we probably don't even know now due to technological
     innovation, with different countries in the world,
     with different power relationships in the world;
     we arrive pretty much at the same place,
     whether it's the blueprint scenario or the scramble scenario.
     There's just under the scramble scenario a lot of blood,
     a lot of treasure, and a lot of dead bodies.
     Frankly, Royal Dutch Shell strategists,
     they won't tell you this, but I believe it's fair to say that
     they think the political will and the leadership won't be here,
     and so we're going to do the scramble and not the blueprint.
     If you're an optimist, you can go for the blueprint.

     LAWRENCE WILKERSON, FMR. STATE DEPT. CHIEF OF STAFF TO COLIN POWELL:
     Let me express my appreciation for all of you coming out tonight.
     It's late, and we're on a college campus,
     and this is really rare to get this many people out.

     ([ It shall be a combination of a blueprint and a scramble, ... ])
   ____________________________________
author
Peter M. Senge

editor's note
M.I.T. organizational learning center
systems thinking and system dynamics in organizations
organization learning is needed
The Fifth Discipline (1990)
internal structure for learning is essential
keynote address, The Power of Systems Thinking Conference, June 12, 1996

  ... ... ... 

A different view of organization reality: the healthy side of system dynamics

     Now let me pose the question in a slightly different way. What would it mean to practice a discipline of system dynamics from what I would call a non-controlling viewpoint? Or, to put it more precisely, from a viewpoint that does not presume a perspective of naive realism?
     That question can lead us toward the healthy side of system dynamics. There is an extraordinary healthy side to system dynamics, beyond the obvious, i.e., understanding complexities and interdependence. We all know that is important, so I don’t mean to discount that. But there is something else, more philosophical, at what would be called an epistemological level—how we understand our world around us. When you participate as a model builder you get very clear about your active participation in constructing your understanding of the world.
     As human beings what we continually do is construct our understanding of the world. It is never adequate. All models are wrong. Modeling, as a discipline, is a very humbling discipline. I think all of us who have been involved would say that. We become aware of just how incomplete our understanding is, and how much it is based on our own perspectives, our own understanding, and our own history.
     How terribly parochial [parochial - restricted to a small area or scope; narrow; limited; provincial [a parochial outlook]] our own understanding is—because it is our own understanding! How could it be anything but parochial? And then we do what the scientific community aspires to do—we make our thinking public. That is really humbling. At first, when we are just building the model, we find ourselves saying, “Gee is that how it works? I think this is how is works.” Then you actually show it to somebody.
     Do you know that the word theory has the same roots as the word theater. It is from the Greek root word—theo-rós. It means to lay out in the open, display. To construct a theory is to display one’s thinking. The problem is that most of us learned about science when we were kids, while we read our 8th grade science book and it was full of all these statements which appeared to be definitive descriptions of reality, created by these strange kind of occult characters called “scientists.” The Wizard of Oz is really about that—these strange characters behind the curtain; we don’t see them; we don’t know about them as people; we don’t learn about their foibles, their flaws or their passions. We learn about them as the scientists who create these definitive statements of reality—just like that Wizard’s image projected on the screen. Rarely do we consider science as a human process, as Buckminster Fuller used to say, of “putting the data of one’s experience in order.”

  ... ... ... 

A community is a necessary context
     The premise in forming a consortium to do this work—The Center for Organizational Learning— was very simple: (l) This is really hard. It is hard because it’s hard; it is a human attempt to model a difficult, complex and dynamic reality. (2) When human beings have something that is really difficult to do it would be foolhardy for them to try to do it by themselves, You can generalize that one more step: When organizations have something that is really hard for organizations to do, it is foolhardy for them to do it by themselves. They need to team up.
     It has taken us about five years, but now I think we understand the kind of principle behind the premise. It is this: When you are seeking to bring about a change in the order of things, something that is fairly fundamental, it can only be done in the context of a community.

  ... ... ... 
   ____________________________________
author
Peter M. Senge

   ... [...] ....

     I remember Bill O’Brien, former CEO of the Hanover Insurance Company,
saying, “Organizational design starts with the guiding ideas. To what extent is the organization actually committed to—and people perceive it as being authentically and genuinely committed to—aspirations that go beyond just making money.” Without that you cannot expect people to really invest themselves. And if people cannot really invest themselves, it is hard for much learning to occur. So, in a sense, that is the beginning of infrastructure for learning.
     Arie de Geus gave a speech in 1995 at the Royal Academy of the Arts, in London, entitled: “What is a Company?” He traced out two quite fascinating historical lines of thought around that question. He pointed out that the prevailing notion of a company, a business enterprise, is that it is a machine for making money. Now we never say that. It would be very politically incorrect. If your organization is a machine for making money, what does that mean you are? But of course that is what people experience. And that is really the “theory in use” in most of our corporations. They basically are conceived of as machines for making money. He then contrasted that with the idea that a company is fundamentally a human community, which if it functions effectively can make money. But it is first and foremost a human community whose needs are those of any community: meaning; some degree of stability; and some degree of longevity, especially the desire to pass on things, to function intergenerationally.
     Do know that the traditional word for business in Swedish is nårings liv which means “nourishment for life.” It’s a very old notion of “company,” a gathering of people who care about something, who want to do something. Sounds interesting? 

   ... [...] ....

Author information
     Peter M. Senge is the director of the MIT Sloan School of Management’s Center for Organizational Learning. The Center is a consortium of corporations that work together to advance methods and knowledge for building learning organizations. His work articulates a cornerstone position of human
values in the workplace; namely that vision, purpose, alignment and systems thinking are essential if organizations are to truly realize their potentials. His areas of special interest and expertise focus on decentralizing the role of leadership in an organization to enhance the capacity of all people to work
productively toward common goals.
     ... [...] ....
     Senge received a B.S. in Engineering from Stanford University, a M.S. in Social Systems Modeling, and a Ph.D. in Management from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

source                   : Winter1996-1997.pdf
source filename(modified): JoIM(Winter19961-1997).pdf

Winter 1997, 68 pages

(not verbatim)
   ____________________________________
  
The necessary revolution : how individual and organizations are working together to create a sustainable world,  
Peter Senge, 
Bryan Smith, Nina Kruschwitz, Joe Laur, Sara Schley, 
2008

p.176   mental models. 
We all hold mental models——some shared across a society, others across a social class, a political party, an industry, a particular company, or even within our own family.  What is often less clear is how these models affect, even dictate, our thoughts and actions and the thinking of those around us. 

p.174
Ways of explaining reality 

    **increasing leverage and opportunity for learning 
    ||  
    ||   Events                React
    ||   what just happened?      
    ||   
    ||   Patterns/Trends       Anticipate/expectation  
    ||   what's been happening over time? 
    ||   have we been here or some
    ||   place similar before? 
    ||
    ||   Systemic Structures   Design/co-design/co-evolution   
    ||   what are the deeper forces driving these 
    ||   patterns  or  trends and how do they arise? 
    ||   what are the forces at play 
    ||   contributing to these pathways? 
    ||   
    ||   Mental Models         Transform/re-form/re-organise/re-call   
    ||   what about our thinking 
    ||   allows this situation to persist? 
    \/
    figure 12.1 

p.177
   Why is it so important to look beneath the surface at the deeper levels of reality?  Because in our experience it is often the key to lasting change.  When people or organizations pay attention only to the visible tip of the iceberg, they can only react to change as it happens—so at best, they survive the crisis.  They often try to compensate for their lack of analysis of a problem with aggressive and "proactive" strategies.  But being "proactive" from a reactive mind-set is reactive just the same.  With long enough lever, boasted Archimedes, "I can move the world."
 
   (The necessary revolution : how individual and organizations are working together to create a sustainable world, Peter Senge, Bryan Smith, Nina Kruschwitz, Joe Laur, Sara Schley, 2008, 338.927 Senge, pp.172-177)
   ____________________________________

"An [organization] is not a machine but a living organism." --Ikujiro Nonaka 
/**
Fundamentals of epistemology: what is knowledge, the nature of knowledge, and what constitutes learning.
Understanding is achieved after internalization.
Without experience, we cannot truly understand.
Internalization: transformation from explicit knowledge to tacit knowledge, habits and culture that we do not recognize in ourselves.

3.5 tacit knowledge, i.e. riding a bike, playing the piano, driving a car, hitting a nail with a hammer
3.5.5 Tacit knowledge has been described as “know-how” - as opposed to “know-what” (facts), “know-why” (science), or “know-who” (networking). 

Innovation is a process to capture, create, leverage, and retain knowledge.
What is your belief? A belief about images of the world – you may call it a mental model – is a very subjective thing

Information is the flow of a message, while knowledge is created by accumulating information. Thus, information is a necessary medium or material for eliciting and constructing knowledge.

The second difference is that information is something passive. When we switch on a TV set, information comes regardless of my commitment. (( But knowledge comes from my belief, so it's more proactive. ))

knowledge is justifying personal belief toward the "truth." ([ your knowledge is your personal "truth"; knowledge is what you know to be truth ])

And the organizational knowledge or intellectual infrastructure of an organization encourages its individual members to develop new knowledge through new experiences.

This dynamic process is the key to organizational knowledge creation – that is, 
(1) socialization -- from individual tacit knowledge to group tacit knowledge, 
(2) externalization -- from tacit knowledge to explicit knowledge, 
(3) combination -- from separate explicit knowledge to systemic explicit knowledge, and 
(4) internalization -- from explicit knowledge to tacit knowledge (see Figure 1). 
http://www.dialogonleadership.org/Nonaka-1996.html#three
  ([ this URL no longer exist; archive? ])
*/
(Peter M Serge, The Fifth Discipline Field Book)
   ____________________________________
       The change management toolbook : a collection of tools, methods and strategies, by Holger Nauheimer 

page 53/307 (pdf)
The map is not the reality (Alfred Korzybski)

   ... human being do not react to reality, but build their own mental model of reality. 
   ...  ...  ...

Accepting this scientific fact has fundamental consequences:  the mental models of individuals who meet and try to exchange information never match - virtually never!  But people have the ability to widen their mental models through and understanding of other people's.  


page 58/307 (pdf)
It goes without saying that many generalisations result in incorrect/erroneous judgments.  This is one of the major traps of thinking.  We are ready to accept information given to us without crosschecking, if it fits into our mental model. 

page 61/307 (pdf)
At the start of a consultantcy assignment, the client usually focuses on his problems, often having deficit orientated perceptions of this working environment (such as team problems, etc.).   As a result, adaptive behavioural patterns aren't explored. 


page 61/307 (pdf)
An anaysis of group processes reveals that hypnotic patterns are self-generating and that on an unconscious level all actors contribute to the problem state:   they hypnotize themselves. 


source: 
       The change management toolbook : a collection of tools, methods and strategies, by Holger Nauheimer 

https://www.nccmt.ca/uploads/media/media/0001/03/1a75f61d353397066eb0e83a0da69d2fd8ee2ef4.pdf
1a75f61d353397066eb0e83a0da69d2fd8ee2ef4.pdf 
was save as :  change management toolbook.pdf 

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ZQYEwIfE7lzwHwa7jngoOLYQdA5QwGt2/view?usp=sharing
   ____________________________________
       The change management toolbook : a collection of tools, methods and strategies, by Holger Nauheimer 

page 50/307 (pdf)

Peter Senge has described the "Ladder of Inference" which is based on the inner confidence that "our map of the reality is the truth", and "the truth is obvious" as a sequence of cognitive steps (Peter Senge et.al. (1994), p.243]: 

   •─  We receive data [experiences] through our senses (observation).  
   •─  We select [experiential] data from what we observe (filter, subtraction). 
   •─  We add meaning to the data (colour, augmentation). 
   •─  We draw assumptions on base of the selected data and the meaning we added. 
   •─  We adopt beliefs (mental models) about the reality and continue to select data (as per step 2) that correspond to these beliefs.
   •─  We act upon our beliefs. 

          A  act      - take actions based on beliefs 
          B  believe  - adopt beliefs about the world 
          C  conclude - draw conclusions  
          A  assume   - make assumptions based on the added meanings
          C  colour   - colour the data - add meaning (cultural & personal) 
          F  filter   - select or filter data to suit our beliefs 
          O  observe  - data & experiences [like] a video tape ("reality")

source: 
       The change management toolbook : a collection of tools, methods and strategies, by Holger Nauheimer 

https://www.nccmt.ca/uploads/media/media/0001/03/1a75f61d353397066eb0e83a0da69d2fd8ee2ef4.pdf
1a75f61d353397066eb0e83a0da69d2fd8ee2ef4.pdf 
was save as :  change management toolbook.pdf 

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ZQYEwIfE7lzwHwa7jngoOLYQdA5QwGt2/view?usp=sharing
   ____________________________________

Spirituality in Business and Life: Asking the Right Questions
Peter Senge
   ____________________________________
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http://www.integral-focus.com/pdf/Senge.pdf

https://www.siue.edu/~mthomec/LearnOrg-Senge.pdf

https://www.implicity.org/Downloads/Bohm-Senge-Team%20Learning.pdf

https://www.minneapolisfed.org/article/1993/the-fifth-discipline-the-art-and-practice-of-the-learning-organization

[[ quick browse, did not like this ]]
https://www.tbs-sct.canada.ca/dev/dwnld/lapn-eng.pdf

https://changingwinds.files.wordpress.com/2010/09/the-five-learning-disciplines.pdf

[[ quick browse, too academic and scholarly ]]
https://www.eajournals.org/wp-content/uploads/The-Learning-Organization-According-to-Senge.pdf

https://www.ucd.ie/t4cms/Systems%20Thinking%20-%20Senge.pdf

https://www.chuh.org/Downloads/feldman_senges_fifth_discipline.pdf

https://www.accncrleadershipacademy.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/holding-creative-tension-senge.article.pdf

https://www.globalacademy.media/transcript-peter-senge-the-heart-of-transformation/
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selection bias (Wald)

    ____________________________________

 ── “During World War II, the Jewish Austro-Hungarian mathematician Abraham Wald demonstrated a remarkable understanding of selection bias.  Wald was asked to examine data on the location of enemy fire hits on bodies of returning aircraft, to recommend which parts of the airplanes should be reinforced to improve survivability.  To this superiors' amazement, Wald recommended adding armor to the locations that showed no damage.   His unique insight was that the bullet holes that he saw in surviving aircraft indicates places where an airplane could be hit and still endure.  He therefore concluded that the planes that had been shot down were probably hit precisely in those places where the persevering planes where lucky enough not to have been hit.”, p.259, Mario Livio, Brilliant blunders, 2013 

“”─
Mario Livio, Brilliant blunders, 2013                                       [ ]

pp.258-259
p.258
   Statisticians always dread selection biases.  These are the distortions of the results, introduced either by data-collecting tools or by the method of data accumulation.  Here are a few simple examples to demonstrate the effect.  Imagine that you want to test an investment strategy by examining the performance of a large group of stocks against twenty (20) years' worth of data.  You might be tempted to include in the study only stocks for which you have complete information over the entire twenty-year period.  However, eliminating stocks that stopped trading during this period would produce biased results, since these were precisely the stocks that did not survive the market. 
p.259
   During World War II, the Jewish Austro-Hungarian mathematician Abraham Wald demonstrated a remarkable understanding of selection bias.  Wald was asked to examine data on the location of enemy fire hits on bodies of returning aircraft, to recommend which parts of the airplanes should be reinforced to improve survivability.  To this superiors' amazement, Wald recommended adding armor to the locations that showed no damage.   His unique insight was that the bullet holes that he saw in surviving aircraft indicates places where an airplane could be hit and still endure.  He therefore concluded that the planes that had been shot down were probably hit precisely in those places where the persevering planes where lucky enough not to have been hit. 
p.259 
   Astronomers are very familiar with the Malmquist bias (named after the Swedish astronomer Gunnar Malmquist, who greatly elaborated upon it in the 1920s).  When astronomers survey stars or galaxies, their telescopes are sensitive only down to a certain brightness.  However, objects that are intrinsically more luminous can be observed to greater distances.  This will create a false trend of increasing average intrinsic brightness with distance, simply because the fainter objects will not be seen. 
p.259 
   Brandon Carter pointed out that we shouldn't take the Copernican principle ── the fact that we are nothing special in the cosmos ── too far.  He reminded astronomers that humans are the ones who make observations of the universe; consequently, they should not be too surprised to discover that the properties of the cosmos are consistent with human existence.  For instance, we could not discover that our universe contains no carbon, since we are carbon-based life-forms.  Initially, most researchers took Carter's anthropic reasoning to be nothing more than a trivially obvious statement. 

   (Brilliant blunders: from Darwin to Einstein ─ colossal mistakes by great scientists that changed our understanding of life and the universe / Mario Livio.,  1. errors, scientific., Q172.5.E77L58  2013, 500─dc23, first Simon & Schuster hardcover edition May 2013, 2013, )
   ____________________________________
en.wikipedia.org
   Abraham Wald
   Wald's sequential sampling theory 

p.20  QMJ 94 Fall
He also presented what was, at the time, the very latest research work on the sequential sampling theory of Abraham Wald (see Wald 1947; Wallis 1980).  
(It is a bit ironic that Wald's theory, which had been developed during the war under U.S. Navy sponsorship, was considered classified material until shortly before Deming presented it to the Japanese.)
Despite all the time he allotted to the topic of sampling inspection, despite all his many references to its theory, one can sense that, at the time of these lectures, Deming already had considerable ambivalence about the utility of acceptance sampling.  His lecture is full of warnings and citations of limitations about its use. 
source:
        what deming told the Japanese in 1950 
        DeminginJapanin1950.pdf
        Peter J. Kolesar, Columbia university
        QMJ 94 Fall 
        
The primary source documents are the published lecture transcripts that Deming considered authentic. 

The transcripts show that Deming introduced to the Japanese a product design cycle of Shewhart that is distinct from the management process that the Japanese later came to call the plan-do-check-act cycle. 

Deming cycle of the plan-do-check-act (PDCA) cycle development, variation, evolution, iteration  
   Figure 2   The Deming/Shewhart design cycle (Deming 1951), p.14
   Figure 3   The Deming PDSA cycle (Deming 1986)., p.15 
   Figure 4   The Mizuno PDCA control circle (Mizuno 1984), p.16  
   ____________________________________
··<────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────>
··<---------------------------------------------------------------------------->

Gary Ware (TACWAR)

    ____________________________________

Kevin Kelly, out of control, 1994                                           [ ]

p.364
U.S. Military Central Command in Florida 
I find the predictive scenarios spooky, strange, and instructional rather than diabolical. 

p.364
Wargaming Center, Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama
Global Game room, Naval War College, Newport, Rhode Island
“sand box” table set-ups, Army's Combat Concepts Agency, Leavenworth, Kansas
TACWAR, JESS, RSAC, SAGA

p.364
Gary Ware, an officer at Central Command
a small cell of military futurists
The simulation was code-named Operation Internal Look. 

p.365
TACWAR, the main computerized war-gaming simulator

p.365
Ware's simulation forecast a fairly brief 30-day war if anything this unlikely should occur. 

p.365
At first, the upper echelons of the Pentagon had no idea they already owned a fully operational, data-saturated simulation of the war. Turn the key and it would run endless what-ifs of possible battles in that zone. When word of the prescient simulation surfaced, Ware came out smelling like roses. He [Gary Ware] admitted that “If we had to start from scratch at the time of the invasion we would have never caught up.”

p.365
In the future, standard army-issue preparedness may demand having a parallel universe of possible wars spinning in a box at the command center, ready to go. 

p.365
By running those simulations in many directions the team quickly learned that airpower would be the decisive key in this war. Further refined iterations clearly showed the war gamers that if airpower was successful, the U.S. would be successful. 

p.365
This confidence led to the heavy air compaign. 

p.366
tomorrow will be mostly like today

   (Kevin Kelly, out of control, 1994, filename: ooc-mf.pdf  )
   ____________________________________

Humphrey's law

 Humphrey's law: conscious attention to a task normally performed automatically can impair its performance. Described by psychologist George Humphrey in 1923.

source:
       https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_eponymous_laws


A man's beliefs

  ── I truly believe Father Bain would have preferred that boy die than me save him.
 ── Aye.  I don't doubt that.  A man's beliefs are how he makes sense of life, and if you take that away, what do you have left?  Is it so different where you come from? 
 ── in that regard, I supposed not. 

source:
       Outlander, 1 season, 2017
       based on a series of books by Diana Gabaldon 

habit process

     “We are what we repeatly do. 
     Excellence, then, is not an act, but a habit.”;
            ── ARISTOTLE; 
                 The little book of Talent : 
                 52 tips for improving your skills; 
                 DANIEL COYLE, 2012, author of the talent code. 
   ____________________________________
John Hargrave, Mind hacking : how to change your mind for good in 21 days, 2016 

p.149
Repetition is key.  Also, repetition is key. 
   One of the best parts about living in Boston, besides the wealth of technology talent, is sledding in the winter, It's a thrill seeker's dream, because you can sled as long as you want, as often as you want, and, unlike roller coasters or hallucinogens, it's totally free. 
   I live near Wellesley College, the renowed all-women's college that has produced notable alumni like Nora Ephron and Hillary Clinton.  Wellesley has a sledding hill that is just phenomenally dangerous.  It has (what feels like) an 85-degree incline, where you attain (what feels like) speeds of up to 75 miles per hour.  On one side of the hill, a fifteen-foot oak branch spreads out across the snow, like a giant, deadly limbo stick.  If you don't press your body flat into the sled, you will be decapitated by the tree.  It's insane that they allow sledding on the hill at all, but even more insane is that the women of Wellesley college sled down the hill on plastic trays from the dining hall. (It's funnier if you picture Hillary Clinton on a tray.)
   As any sledding enthusiast knows, if you get to the hill after a fresh snow, it's just clean powder.  Then, as people sled down the hill, it creates grooves, or tracks, in the snow.  After a few days the Wellesley students have built snow ramps and moguls at the bottom, so that the sledding down one of these tracks will launch you into orbit. 
   A few days after a snow, you'll find one set of snow tracks that take you under the Oak tree of death, and another set that will shoot you off the Ramps into hyperspace.  Even if you start your sled on another area of the hill, you end up locking into one of those two tracks.
   Our minds are like that hill.  The constant repetition of our negative loops cuts deep mental grooves, and it's natural for our minds to “lock into” those grooves, even when the negative loops are self-destructive. 

p.150
   The good news is, through repetition, you can cut new groove.  When I take my kids sledding at the hill, we often have to cut a new track, packing down the snow where we want it to go, when physically slowing and redirecting ourselves to the new tracks.  The sled “wants” to lock into the existing groove, but by patiently working the new path we can eventually get the sled to lock into the new one instead. 

   ( Mind hacking : how to change your mind for good in 21 days / Sir John Hargrave., 1. thought and thinking., 2. change (psychology)., BF441.H313  2016
158.1--dc23, 2016, )
   ____________________________________
Allan J. McDonald with James R. Hansen, Truth, lies, and o-rings, 2009      [ ]

p.573 
James R. Hansen 
 A smooth sea never made a skilled mariner.
                           --Old English Proverb

What he came to fathom about the subject conformed well to what the ancient Greek philosopher Aristotle taught over 2,300 years ago: Human beings are what we repeatedly do.  

   (McDonald, Allan J., Truth, lies, and o-rings : inside the space shuttle challenger disaster / Allan J. McDonald with James R. Hansen., 1. challenger (spacecraft)--accidents., 2. whistle blowing--united states., 3. space shuttles--accidents--invesetigation., 4. united states. national aeronautics and space administration., 5. united states--politics and government., 2009, )
   ____________________________________
Robert Greene, Mastery, 2012
p.297
he already saw boxing from a perspective that was much wider and deeper than that of other trainers.  And so when he felt that there was an even higher level to aim for, this  intuition was based on the depth of all those years of practical experience.  Inspired by this feeling, he was able to analyze his own work up to that point and see its limitations. 
p.297
   Roach knew from his own career that so much of boxing is mental.  A fighter who enters the ring with a clear sense of purpose and strategy, and with the confidence that comes from complete preparation, has a much better chance of prevailing.  
It was one thing to imagine giving his fighters such an advantage, but it was quite another to bring it to pass.  Before a fight there are so many distractions, and during a match it is so easy to simply react emotionally to the punches and lose any sense of strategy.  To overcome these problems, he developed a two-pronged approach ── he crafted a comprehensive and fluid strategy based on his perception of the opponent's habits, and he imprinted this strategy into the nervous system of his fighters through hours of mitt work.  On this level, his training did not consist of individual elements that he worked on with his boxers, but of an integrated, seemless form of preparation that closely simulated the experience of fight, repeated over and over again.  It took many years of a hit-and-miss process to create this high-level training, but when it all came together

   (Mastery / Robert Greene., 1. successful people., 2. success., 3. self-actualization (psychology), includes bibliographical references, BF637.S8G695  2012, 158─dc23, 2012027195, )
   ____________________________________
    “Conditioned reflexes are phenomena of common and widespread 
     occurrence: their establishment is an integral function in 
     everyday life. We recognize them ourselves and in other 
     people under such names as ‘education’, ‘habits’, and 
     ‘training’; and all of these are really nothing more than the 
     results of an establishment of new nervous connections 
     during the post-natal existence of the organism.”; 
            ── Ivan Pavlov, Conditioned Reflexes:                
               An Investigation of the Physiological Activity 
               of the Cerebral Cortex, 1927, 
               translated from the Russia,
               St. Petersburg Military Medical Academy; 
               Tom Butler-Bowden, 50 psychology classics, 2007, 
               p.210 

Nicholas Carr., "The shallows : what the Internet is doing to our brains", © 2011, 2010

[p.29]
 "Neurons seem to 'want' to receive input," explains Nancy Kanwisher of MIT's McGovern Institute for Brain Research: "When their usual input disappears, they start responding to the next best thing." 23

(Carr, Nicholas G.; 'The shallows', © 2011, 2010, [612.80285-dc22], published by Norton, )
("The shallows : what the Internet is doing to our brains", Nicholas Carr., 1. Neuropsychology, 2. Internet-Physiological effect., 3. Internet-Psychological aspects., © 2011, 2010, [612.80285-dc22], pp.27-28, pp.28-29, p.29)
   ____________________________________
Tom Butler-Bowden, 50 psychology classics, 2007                             [ ]

1927
Conditioned Reflexes
Ivan Pavlov
pp.210-215

p.211
   Conditioned Reflexes: An Investigation of the Physiological Activity of the Cerebral Cortex, translated from the Russia, is a collection of lectures first given by Pavlov at the Military Medical Academy in St. Petersburg in 1924. In mind-numbing detail, it summarizes the 25 years of research carried out by his team that ultimately led to a Nobel Prize. 

p.211
   He paid tribute to philosopher René Descartes, who three centuries earlier had described animals as machines who reacted predictably according to stimuli in their environment in order to achieve a certain equilibrium with it. 

p.211
There was a psychological element to the dogs' saliva reflex; that is, they would begin to salivate simply when they thought they were about to get food. 

p.212
He showed that the cerebral cortex, the most advanced part of the brain, was very malleable, as were the nervous pathways linking ot it. So-called instincts could be learnt--and unlearnt, since he was also able to demonstrate that reflexes could also be inhibited or extinguished by associating food with something the dog didn't like. 

p.212
   Yet Pavlov also noted limits to the creation of conditioned reflexes. They either wore off over time, or the dogs sometimes did not bother to respond and just fell asleep. He concluded that the cerebral cortex cannot be overworked or changed too much. It seemed that a dog's survival and proper functioning required it to retain a certain amount of stability in its brain wiring. 

p.213

p.213
We know that the best way to learn something is to do it in stages, ... . 
p.213
  ☯  The way human beings are trained, disciplined, and enculturated is 
     not that different to how dogs are taught to do things. We know that
     the best way to learn something is to do it in stages, in the same
     way that the dogs' conditioned reflexes were effected in steps.  And
     as he found with dogs, human have to unlearn things as well as 
     learning them. 

pp.213-214
  ☯  Pavlov had a special soundproofed building created for his 
     experiments because he found that external stimuli affected 
     the ability to condition reflexes. In the same way, most of 
     us cannot study a book if a movie is showing at the same time;
     and we find it hard to “get back into things” after a holiday 
     or some break from routine. As with the dogs, neuroses and 
     psychoses occur as the result of extreme stimulation that 
     cannot be properly incorporated into existing thinking and 
     reactions.

p.214
  ☯  The reactions of the dogs could not be predicted. Pavlov recalled
     when one of Petrograd's famous floods swept through the experimental 
     quarters, some dog grew excited, others frightened, some withdrew.
     In the same way, he noted, we can never predict how a person will
     react emotionally to, for instance, a strong insult or the loss of
     a loved one. These reactions seemed to mirror the two common 
     psychological reactions to shock recognized in both dogs and 
     humans──neurasthenia (fatigue, withdrawing, immobilization) and
     hysteria (neurotic exictation). 

p.214
..., Pavlov's implication was that evolution has ensured that we cannot not react to a major event──we must take account of it some way.  To eventually return to a state of stability, we have to incorporate what we have experienced.  To eventually return to a state of stability, we have to incorporate [or not incorporate by ignoring and self-deception] what we have experienced.  


p.214
These reactions seemed to mirror the two common psychological reactions to shock recognized in both dogs and humans--neurasthenia (fatigue, withdrawing, immobilization) and hysteria (neurotic excitation). 

p.214
..., Pavlov's implication was that evolution has ensured that we cannot not react to a major event--we must take account of it some way. 

p.214
The implication for humans? Although we live for the most part through habit or enculturation, we are in a position to change our behavior patterns. We are as susceptible to conditioning as any animal, yet at the same time we also have the ability to break our own patterns if they ultimately prove not to be in our interests. Via feedback from our environment we learn what are effective responses to life and what are not. 

p.215
[Pavlov's] focus on measurable physiological reaction alone was almost the opposite approach of the Freudian immersion in “inner drives and wishes”, yet that focus enabled psychology to come to rest on harder scientific ground. 

p.215
Ivan Petrovich Pavlov was born in 1849 in Ryazan in central Russia, the oldest of 11 children, and his father was the village priest. 

p.215
His doctorate concerned the centrifugal nerves of the heart. 

p.215
   In 1890 Pavlov set up the physiology department of the Institute of Experimental Sciences in St. Petersburg, where he did most of his work on digestion and conditioned reflexes. 

   (50 psychology classics, Tom Butler-Bowden, 2007, pp.210-215 )

--

NOTICE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C., section 107, some material is provided without permission from the copyright owner, only for purposes of criticism, comment, scholarship and research under the "fair use" provisions of federal copyright laws. These materials may not be distributed further, except for "fair use," without permission of the copyright owner. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml
   ____________________________________

 ─ once established, processes are meant NOT to change

Clayton M. Christensen, Innovator's dilemma, 1997, 2000                     [ ]
p.188
    One of the dilemmas of management is that, by their very nature, processes are established so that employees perform recurrent tasks in a consistent way, time after time.  To ensure consistency, they are meant NOT to change — or if they must change, to change through tightly controlled procedures.  THIS MEANS THAT THE VERY MECHANISMS THROUGH WHICH ORGANIZATIONS CREATE VALUE ARE INTRINSICALLY INIMICAL TO CHANGE.
    (Innovator's dilemma, by Clayton M. Christensen, copyright © 1997, 2000, 658.4 Christen, )
   ____________________________________
Dave Oliver, Against the tide, 2014                                         [ ]

p.74
   Of course, the people who appreciate the need to follow process may not be the same individuals who embrace innovation. A successful organization needs people with  both personality types to coexist and excel. The critical management question is, How in the world should talent be parsed to accomplish both goals?
   We have discussed how the nuclear-submarine forces approached this problem. They determined what was routine, established a process to control that action, assigned the routine processes to the junior personnel, and tasked senior managers (expected to be more capable) with innovation. But what happened when a bad process was inadvertently installed and accepted? 

p.7
     A example of how pernicious this problem can be is the story of the repeating rifles, another disruptive military technology. The first of these weapons (Spencer's and Henry's) grew out of the technological marriage of precision manufacturing techniques and new copper cartridges.3 Both rifles were introduced into the U.S. Army during the Civil War. Unlike previous muzzle-loading guns, the new rifle enables the soliders to shoot multiple times before pausing to reload. Repeating rifles thus generated a much greater rate of fire than anything heretofore known in history. These transformative weapons were preferentially used by Union forces after 1863, as well as in Europe during the 1870 Franco-Prussian War.
     As should have been obvious, against a force armed with repeating rifles it was nearly impossible to overrun a position between successive volleys (while soldiers were reloading). Repeating rifles thus altered an open-terrain charge from a tried-and-true tactic to an invitation to a massacre. Yet, fifty years later, when World War I began, the American Army was still conducting charges on horseback. The downside of culture is that the stronger it becomes the more difficult it is to internally recognize a need to change.

   (Against the tide : Rickover's leadership principles and the rise of the nuclear Navy / Rear Admiral Dave Oliver, USN (Ret.)., 1. Rickover, Hyman George., 2. admirals--united states--biography., 3. united states. navy--officers--biography., 4. nuclear submarines--united states--history--20th century., 5. nuclear warships--united states--safety measures--history., 6. marine nuclear reactor plants--united states--safety measures--history., 7. united states. navy--management., 8. leadership--united states., 2014, )
   ____________________________________
Clayton M. Christensen, Innovator's dilemma, 1997, 2000                     [ ]

pp.197—200
creating capabilities to cope with change

If a manager determined that an employee was incapable of succeeding at a task, he or she would either find someone else to do the job or carefully train the employee to be able to succeed.  Training often works, because individuals can become skilled at multiple tasks.
    Despite beliefs spawned by popular change-management and reengineering programs, processes are not nearly as flexible or "train-able" as are resources — and values are even less so.  The processes that make an organization good at outsourcing components cannot simultaneously make it good at developing and manufacturing components in-house.  Values that focus an organization's priorities on high-margin products cannot simultaneously focus priorities on low-margin products.  This is why focused organizations perform so much better than unfocused ones: their processes and values are matched carefully with the set of tasks that need to be done.
    For these reasons, managers who determine that an organization's capabilities aren't suited for a new task, are faced with three options through which to create new capabilities.  They can: 

    • Acquire a different organization whose processes and values are close match with the new task

    • Try to change the processes and values of the current organization

    • Separate out an independent organization and develop within it the new processes and values that are required to solve the problem

    ...  [...] ...

    (Innovator's dilemma, by Clayton M. Christensen, copyright © 1997, 2000, 658.4 Christen, pp.197—200)

p.259
    Fourth, the capabilities of most organizations are far more specialized and context-specific than most managers are inclined to believe.  This is because capabilities are forged within value networks.  Hence, organizations have capabilities to take certain new technologies into certain markets.  They have disabilities in taking technology to market in other ways.  Organizations have the capability to tolerate failure along some dimensions, and an incapacity to tolerate other types of failure.  They have the capability to make money when gross margins are at one level, and an inability to make money when margins are at another.  They may have the capability to manufacture profitably at particular ranges of volume and order size, and be unable to make money with different volumes and sizes of customers.  Typically, their product development cycle times and the steepness of the ramp to production that they can negotiate are set in the context of their value network.
    All these capabilities — of organizations and of individuals — are defined and refined by the types of problems tackled in the past, the nature of which has also been shaped by the characteristics of the value networks in which the organizations and individuals have historically competed.  Very often, the new markets enabled by disruptive technologies require very different capabilities along each of these dimensions.
    (Innovator's dilemma, by Clayton M. Christensen, copyright © 1997, 2000, 658.4 Christen, p.259)

    (Innovator's dilemma, by Clayton M. Christensen, copyright © 1997, 2000, 658.4 Christen, )
   ____________________________________